UTSA
W-L: ( 7- 5) PR = 77.0008Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 A Texas A&M SEC (11- 1, 90.4) 24-42 906 H Texas State SUN ( 5- 8, 71.5) 43-36 913 H Incarn. Word 48-20 920 A Colorado St MIDW ( 2-11, 64.4) 17-16 1004 A Temple AME ( 5- 7, 71.4) 21-27 1011 H Rice AME ( 6- 7, 68.8) 61-13 1018 A No Texas AME (12- 2, 82.8) 17-55 1030 H Tulane AME (11- 3, 82.0) 48-26 1106 A So Florida AME ( 9- 4, 84.7) 23-55 1115 A Charlotte AME ( 1-11, 49.9) 28- 7 1122 H Ea Carolina AME ( 9- 4, 81.3) 58-24 1129 H Army AME ( 7- 6, 78.4) 24-27
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
830 A Texas A&M 24-42 -18 -19 0.00
906 H Texas State 43-36 7 11 - -3.80
920 A Colorado St 17-16 1 7 --- -6.29
1004 A Temple 21-27 -6 0 --- -6.36
1011 H Rice 61-13 48 13 0.55
1018 A No Texas 17-55 -38 -11 - -2.99
1030 H Tulane 48-26 22 0 +++ 13.75
1106 A So Florida 23-55 -32 -13 -1.02
1115 A Charlotte 28- 7 21 22 0.00
1122 H Ea Carolina 58-24 34 1 +++ 13.03
1129 H Army 24-27 -3 4 --- -6.87
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 920 A Colorado St 17-16 1 7 --- -6.29 1004 A Temple 21-27 -6 0 --- -6.36 1129 H Army 24-27 -3 4 --- -6.87 906 H Texas State 43-36 7 11 - -3.80 1018 A No Texas 17-55 -38 -11 - -2.99 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1030 H Tulane 48-26 22 0 +++ 13.75 1122 H Ea Carolina 58-24 34 1 +++ 13.03 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Texas A&M (11- 1, 90.4) 24-42 -9.45 41.77 5.26 1.16 -2.43
3 H Texas State ( 5- 8, 71.5) 43-36 -28.44 22.78 -5.26 1.16 40.62
3 A Colorado St ( 2-11, 64.4) 17-16 -35.45 15.77 5.26 1.16 48.74
3 A Temple ( 5- 7, 71.4) 21-27 -28.52 22.70 5.26 1.16 -13.48
3 H Rice ( 6- 7, 68.8) 61-13 -31.09 20.13 -5.26 1.16 34.48
3 A No Texas (12- 2, 82.8) 17-55 -17.14 34.07 5.26 1.16 -6.89
3 H Tulane (11- 3, 82.0) 48-26 -17.89 33.33 -5.26 1.16 65.07
3 A So Florida ( 9- 4, 84.7) 23-55 -15.18 36.04 5.26 1.16 -5.75
3 A Charlotte ( 1-11, 49.9) 28- 7 -50.04 1.18 5.26 1.16 14.92
3 H Ea Carolina ( 9- 4, 81.3) 58-24 -18.61 32.61 -5.26 1.16 63.39
3 H Army ( 7- 6, 78.4) 24-27 -21.51 29.71 -5.26 1.16 -15.51
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223.17
|
winning pts = 267.2307 losing points = -44.0632
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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